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  5. Validating the predictive ability of the 2MACE score for major adverse cardiovascular events in patients with atrial fibrillation: results from phase II/III of the GLORIA-AF registry

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Article
en
2023

Validating the predictive ability of the 2MACE score for major adverse cardiovascular events in patients with atrial fibrillation: results from phase II/III of the GLORIA-AF registry

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en
2023
Vol 57 (1)
Vol. 57
DOI: 10.1007/s11239-023-02866-y

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Professor Gregory Lip
Professor Gregory Lip

University of Liverpool

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Wern Yew Ding
Ameenathul M. Fawzy
Giulio Francesco Romiti
+96 more

Abstract

The 2MACE score was specifically developed as a risk-stratification tool in atrial fibrillation (AF) to predict cardiovascular outcomes. We evaluated the predictive ability of the 2MACE score in the GLORIA-AF registry. All eligible patients from phase II/III of the prospective global GLORIA-AF registry were included. Major adverse cardiac events (MACEs) were defined as the composite outcome of stroke, myocardial infarction and cardiovascular death. Cox proportional hazards were used to examine the relationship between the 2MACE score and study outcomes. Predictive capability of the 2MACE score was investigated using receiver-operating characteristic curves. A total of 25,696 patients were included (mean age 71 years, female 44.9%). Over 3 years, 1583 MACEs were recorded. Patients who had MACE were older, with more cardiovascular risk factors and were less likely to be managed using a rhythm-control strategy. The median 2MACE score in the MACE and non-MACE groups were 2 (IQR 1-3) and 1 (IQR 0-2), respectively (p < 0.001). The 2MACE score was positively associated with an increase in the risk of MACE, with a score of ≥ 2 providing the best combination of sensitivity (69.6%) and specificity (51.6%), HR 2.47 (95% CI, 2.21-2.77). The 2MACE score had modest predictive performance for MACE in patients with AF (AUC 0.655 (95% CI, 0.641-0.669)). Our analysis in this prospective global registry demonstrates that the 2MACE score can adequately predict the risk of MACE (defined as myocardial infarction, CV death and stroke) in patients with AF. Clinical trial registration: http://www.clinicaltrials.gov . Unique identifiers: NCT01468701, NCT01671007 and NCT01937377.

How to cite this publication

Wern Yew Ding, Ameenathul M. Fawzy, Giulio Francesco Romiti, Marco Proietti, Daniele Pastori, Menno V. Huisman, Professor Gregory Lip, Dzifa Wosornu Abban, Nasser Abdul, Atilio Marcelo Abud, Fran Adams, Srinivas Addala, Pedro Adragão, Walter Ageno, Rajesh Aggarwal, Sergio Agosti, Piergiuseppe Agostoni, Francisco Aguilar, Julio Aguilar Linares, Luis Aguinaga, Jameel Ahmed, Allessandro Aiello, Paul Ainsworth, Jorge Roberto Aiub, Raed Al-Dallow, Lisa Alderson, Jorge Antonio Aldrete Velasco, Dimitrios Alexopoulos, Fernando Alfonso Manterola, Pareed Aliyar, David Alonso, Fernando Costa, José Amado, W. Amara, Mathieu Amelot, Nima Amjadi, Fabrizio Ammirati, Marianna Andrade, Nabil Andrawis, Giorgio Annoni, Gerardo Ansalone, M. Kevin Ariani, Juan Carlos Arias, Sebastien Arméro, Chander Arora, Muhammad Shakil Aslam, M. Asselman, Philippe Audouin, Charles Augenbraun, Şenay Aydın, Ivaneta Ayryanova, Emad F. Aziz, Luciano Marcelo Backes, Erik Badings, Ermentina Bagni, Seth Baker, Richard Bala, Antonio Baldi, Shigenobu Bando, Subhash Banerjee, Alan J. Bank, Gonzalo Barón‐Esquivias, Craig Barr, Maria Bartlett, Vanja Bašić Kes, Giovanni Baula, Steffen Behrens, Alan Bell, Raffaella Benedetti, Juan Benezet Mazuecos, Bouziane Benhalima, Jutta Bergler‐Klein, Jean-Baptiste Berneau, Percy Berrospi, Sergio Berti, Andrea Berz, Elizabeth Best, Paulo Bettencourt, Robert Betzu, Ravi Bhagwat, Luna Bhatta, Francesco Biscione, Giovanni Bisignani, Toby Black, Michael J. Bloch, Stephen R. Bloom, Edwin Blumberg, Mario Bo, Ellen Bøhmer, Andreas Bollmann, Maria Grazia Bongiorni, Giuseppe Boriani, D. J. Boswijk, Jochen Bott, E. Bottacchi, Marica Bracic Kalan, Drew Bradman, D. H. Brautigam, Nicolas Breton (2023). Validating the predictive ability of the 2MACE score for major adverse cardiovascular events in patients with atrial fibrillation: results from phase II/III of the GLORIA-AF registry. , 57(1), DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11239-023-02866-y.

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Publication Details

Type

Article

Year

2023

Authors

99

Datasets

0

Total Files

0

Language

en

DOI

https://doi.org/10.1007/s11239-023-02866-y

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