Risk of Cardiovascular Events in Metabolically Healthy Overweight or Obese Adults: Role of LDL-Cholesterol in the Stratification of Risk

The objective of this study was to investigate the longitudinal association of metabolically healthy overweight/obese adults with major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) and the effect of LDL-cholesterol levels on this association. This study was conducted with 15,904 participants from the URRAH study grouped according to BMI and metabolic status. Healthy metabolic status was identified with and without including LDL-cholesterol. The risk of MACE during 11.8 years of follow-up was evaluated with multivariable Cox regressions. Among the participants aged <70 years, high BMI was associated with an increased risk of MACE, whereas among the older subjects it was associated with lower risk. Compared to the group with normal weight/healthy metabolic status, the metabolically healthy participants aged <70 years who were overweight/obese had an increased risk of MACE with an adjusted hazard ratio of 3.81 (95% CI, 1.34-10.85, p = 0.012). However, when LDL-cholesterol < 130 mg/dL was included in the definition of healthy metabolic status, no increase in risk was found in the overweight/obese adults compared to the normal weight individuals (hazard ratio 0.70 (0.07-6.71, p = 0.75). The present data show that the risk of MACE is increased in metabolically healthy overweight/obese individuals identified according to standard criteria. However, when LDL-cholesterol is included in the definition, metabolically healthy individuals who are overweight/obese have no increase in risk.